// Event detail
S&P 500 closes above 6,000 by year-end?
Macro · Ends in 215d
YES
41¢
+0.7% 24H
Volume
$7.65M
Liquidity
$880K
Probability curve · 24H
Arbitrage Calculator
Cost
$1000.00
Gross payout
$1052.63
Fees
-$20.00
Net edge
+3.26%
Sizing: 1052.6 contracts each side · risk-free if both venues settle same outcome
Order book depth
0.66¢1,800
0.65¢1,580
0.64¢1,360
0.63¢1,140
0.62¢920
0.61¢2,200
0.60¢1,920
0.59¢1,640
0.58¢1,360
0.57¢1,080
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