Prediction · Performance
Model vs Market
Brier score (lower = better calibrated) and hit-rate for MirrorQuant AI against implied market probabilities.
Crypto
MQ Brier
0.164
Mkt Brier
0.198
MQ Acc
71.2%
Mkt Acc
66.4%
n = 1,284
Macro
MQ Brier
0.142
Mkt Brier
0.176
MQ Acc
74.8%
Mkt Acc
68.1%
n = 612
Politics
MQ Brier
0.211
Mkt Brier
0.204
MQ Acc
62.2%
Mkt Acc
63.3%
n = 428
Sports
MQ Brier
0.198
Mkt Brier
0.201
MQ Acc
64.1%
Mkt Acc
63.9%
n = 2,140
12-Month Brier — MQ vs Implied Market
MirrorQuant Market