Prediction · Calendar
Event Calendar
Scheduled macro events with the prediction markets they move the most, sized by historical average 1-hour probability shift.
★★★CPIJul 10 · 08:30 ET
US June CPI release
Avg 1h abs prob move: 380 bps
★★★FOMCJul 30 · 14:00 ET
FOMC rate decision
Avg 1h abs prob move: 620 bps
★★★NFPAug 1 · 08:30 ET
US Nonfarm Payrolls
Avg 1h abs prob move: 210 bps
★★GDPJul 25 · 08:30 ET
US Q2 GDP advance estimate
Avg 1h abs prob move: 140 bps
★★EarningsAug 20 · 16:00 ET
NVDA Q2 earnings
Avg 1h abs prob move: 95 bps